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DICast System
Dynamic Integrated foreCast
Future Applications for DICAST Technology
The DICAST system was developed for specific
applications in the area of public forecasting;
however, the basic technology has many
potential applications in the future.
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- Spot forecasts for wildland fire
support - The DICAST system could
be used as a forecast engine for providing
temperature, relative humidity, precipitation
and wind forecasts at fire weather observation
sites that are used as input to the
National Fire Danger Rating System.
- Track buckling and separation
- The DICAST system could be used to
provide air and track temperature forecasts
for the railroad industry to be ingested
into decision support systems that flag
sections of track that are susceptible
to buckling and separation due to extreme
cold or heat, or rapid changes in temperature.
- Military test range support
- The DICAST system could be used to
provide surface and upper air forecasts
of wind, temperature, precipitation,
cloud cover and relative humidity for
specified points within military test
ranges.
- Hurricane landfall conditions
- The DICAST system could be used to
provide forecasts for wind, precipitation
and storm surge at specified locations
along coastlines as a hurricane approaches
the coast and makes landfall.
- Marine operations -- The DICAST
system could be used to provide forecasts
for marine buoy and oil rig locations
for supporting fishing, recreational
boating and commercial marine operations.
- Road Weather - The DICAST
technology has been reapplied and configured
to generate weather forecasts along
specific highway routes as part of the
Federal Highway Administrations' winter
road Maintenance Decision Support System
(MDSS) Project.
- Energy - Because of its ability
to tune itself based on local observations,
DICAST has proven that it is capable
of producing a more accurate forecast
than any individual input. This skill
can be converted to a significant financial
benefit by those responsible for predicting
energy demands. The energy industry
has expressed a lot of interest in DICAST,
particularly for electrical power load
forecasting.
Future Development for DICAST Technology
The DICAST system is in a continuous
state of development so that it can adapt
to new and changing data sources as well
as utilize new algorithms. Some of the
currently planned major additions include:
- Use the European models (ECMWF, UK
Met Office)
- Use NWS digital forecasts
- Create probabilistic forecasts
- Add near-term forecast/obs re-alignment
(forward error correction)
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